A six sided unbiased die with four green faces and two red faces is rolled seven times. Which of the following combinations is the most likely outcome of the experiment?
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Answer: C
This problem can be modeled using the Binomial Distribution.
Let be the event of rolling a green face, and be the event of rolling a red face. The probabilities of these events on a single roll of the unbiased 6-sided die are:
- Probability of Green,
- Probability of Red,
The die is rolled times. Let be the random variable representing the number of green faces obtained. follows a binomial distribution, .
The probability of getting exactly green faces (and red faces) is given by:
We can find the most likely outcome (the mode of the distribution) by calculating for the values of given in the options:
- Three green and four red faces ():
- Four green and three red faces ():
- Five green and two red faces ():
- Six green and one red face ():
Comparing the numerators, we see that the probability is maximized when (numerator is ).
Alternative Method (Using the Mode of a Binomial Distribution):
The mode of a binomial distribution is given by if is not an integer.
Here, .
Therefore, the mode is green faces (and consequently red faces).
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