A day can only be cloudy or sunny. The probability of a day being cloudy is , independent of the condition on other days. What is the probability that in any given four days, there will be three cloudy days and one sunny day?
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Answer: A
This problem can be modeled using the Binomial Distribution, where each day is an independent trial with two possible outcomes: cloudy (success) or sunny (failure).
Let:
- be the total number of days.
- be the desired number of cloudy days.
- be the probability of a day being cloudy.
- be the probability of a day being sunny.
The probability of getting exactly successes in independent trials is given by the binomial formula:
Substituting the given values into the formula:
Thus, the probability that there will be three cloudy days and one sunny day in any given four days is .
Therefore, the correct option is A.
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