We are given a set where . A sample is drawn by selecting each independently with probability . The expected value of the smallest number in sample is:
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Answer: D
Let be the random variable representing the smallest number in the selected sample .
The elements of the set are for . That is, .
Since each element is chosen independently with probability :
- The smallest element in is if . This occurs with probability:
- The smallest element in is if and . This occurs with probability:
- In general, the smallest element in is if and . This occurs with probability:
- If the sample is empty (which happens when no elements are selected, with probability ), the value of the smallest element is .
Now, we calculate the expected value of :
Thus, the expected value of the smallest number in the sample is .
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